Saturday, September 19, 2026

Fixed Income & Yields

1 article

Fed's Waller Puts Rate Hikes Back on the Table as Iran War Oil Shock Stokes Inflation

Fed's Waller Puts Rate Hikes Back on the Table as Iran War Oil Shock Stokes Inflation

Fed Governor Christopher Waller said he can no longer rule out rate hikes after Iran War-driven oil prices pushed inflation in the wrong direction. Treasury yields are surging toward multi-year highs as markets rapidly reprice rate expectations. The FOMC is split on whether the supply shock is transitory or entrenched.

LM Salvado
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AI Boom Hits a Fork: Slowdown Calls Clash with Capex Confidence as Markets Get Nervous
Dario Amodei's repeated calls for a global slowdown in frontier AI development, echoed by Microsoft's new humanist AI code of conduct and FTC antitrust caution, are being publicly rejected by Nvidia and Meta leadership even as hyperscaler spending draws fresh skeptical scrutiny (Wachter's analysis, Burry-style overbuilding worries) and weak guidance from Adobe and a post-slowdown-comment selloff in GE Vernova signal investor jitters. Meanwhile wealth and security effects of the AI race keep compounding — Zhang Yiming's fortune surging on AI-driven ByteDance value, a Chinese hacking firm weaponizing AI against stolen government secrets, and low-quality AI-generated products (an AI sitcom, a spam-flooding agent platform) fueling backlash even as adoption races ahead.
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EPKINLY Regulatory-Clinical Success Cascade
High probability of expanded label indications, additional combination approvals, and competitive positioning strength in follicular lymphoma market. Predicts positive commercial uptake and potential accelerated review for related indications.
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Berkshire Hathaway
Both facts report Berkshire Hathaway's cash position on 2026-01-01 with identical observation timestamps, but claim vastly different values: 380 billion USD vs 400 USD. These cannot both be true for the same entity at the same point in time. The magnitude of the discrepancy (a factor of ~10^9) rules out rounding, unit conversion, or methodological differences.
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