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News articleNasdaq· May 12, 2026

Dollar Rallies on Crude Oil Strength as Hot US CPI Report

Dollar Rallies on Crude Oil Strength as Hot US CPI Report The dollar index (DXY00) today is up by +0.45%…

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Markets are discounting a 77% chance of a 25 bp BOJ rate hike at the next policy meeting on June 16
60% confidence
Swaps are discounting an 86% chance of a +25 bp rate hike by the ECB at the next policy meeting on June 11
60% confidence
It is quite possible that the BOJ will raise the policy interest rate from the next policy meeting onward, even if the future course of the situation in the Middle East remains unclear
60% confidence
Inflation risks are worsening and circumstances point to an ECB interest rate hike in June
60% confidence
The current US-Iran ceasefire is on 'life support'
60% confidence
Japan imports more than 90% of its energy needs, making the yen vulnerable to crude oil price surges
60% confidence
Swaps markets are discounting the odds at 5% for a 25 bp rate cut at the next FOMC meeting on June 16-17
60% confidence
Rich Asplund did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article on the date of publication
60% confidence
The worst part of the April CPI report is services inflation and the Fed has to think about how to break the chain of escalating inflation
60% confidence
The US has an inflation problem
60% confidence
Strong central bank demand for gold is supportive of gold prices following PBOC's eighteenth consecutive month of reserve increases
60% confidence