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Source document· November 13, 2025

Stock market today: Dow tumbles 800 points with Nasdaq, S&P 500 hammered as investors pare rate cut bets

View original at finance.yahoo.com
Stock market today: Dow tumbles 800 points with Nasdaq, S&P 500 hammered as investors pare rate cut bets US stocks fell sharply on Thursday, led by a decline in tech stocks as the end of the longest-ever US government shutdown was met by concern from investors that the Federal Reserve's plans for a December rate cut mi…
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  • Sees a temporary bearish scenario for bitcoin if the price falls below $93,000

    80% confidence
  • Robotics and Optimus is what investors should be playing for with Tesla

    80% confidence
  • This is the most important chapter ever from Musk and Tesla, the AI chapter, autonomous and robotics

    80% confidence
  • Economic reports delayed by the closure will be permanently impaired and will likely never be released

    80% confidence
  • While she supported cutting interest rates at the last policy meeting, the bar for cutting rates further is relatively high and she sees holding rates at current levels for some time

    80% confidence
  • The Tesla play isn't about the electric cars the company is known for, but about CEO Elon Musk's pitch to build a robot army

    80% confidence
  • Providing additional support to the economy through lower rates runs the risk of slowing or possibly even stalling inflation coming back down to the Fed's 2% target

    80% confidence
  • We're in the digital gold rush

    80% confidence
  • Demand in the economy is resilient and while unemployment risks moving higher, she doesn't think the job market has deteriorated further since the summer

    80% confidence
  • While it's an extremely close call, he believes inflation is a more urgent risk than the job market right now

    80% confidence
  • A Federal Reserve rate cut in December along with more dovishness from the central bank going into next year could be a positive catalyst for crypto

    80% confidence
  • Without a clear and durable macro catalyst, bitcoin and the broader crypto market are likely to remain range-bound

    80% confidence
  • We probably will never actually know for sure what the unemployment rate was in October

    80% confidence
  • 2035 is the .99 year when 99% of all bitcoin will have been mined

    80% confidence
  • While some investors will end up with losses, the aggregate value of what's being created in AI is significant, therefore the rationality part comes in

    80% confidence
  • The household survey wasn't conducted in October, so October jobs report will include jobs data but not unemployment rate

    80% confidence
  • Tesla market cap could reach $2-3 trillion, calling it best physical AI play besides Nvidia

    80% confidence
  • Bitcoin will be a larger asset class than gold by the year 2035

    80% confidence
  • AI-driven startups are building businesses that differ widely from the highly successful but now outdated software as a service (SaaS) business model

    80% confidence
  • We are in a rational bubble with three key elements: not all foundational AI model companies will succeed yet all attract investment, diffusion into workplace isn't being discussed enough, and companies putting AI label on what they do to attract investment

    80% confidence
What we know · the intelligence behind this page
Live from the substrate
What we're seeing
Enterprise Software Races to Govern and Consolidate Around Agentic AI
Enterprise software vendors are repositioning around autonomous AI agents. Salesforce is acquiring Braze, ServiceNow is launching agent governance tools (AI Passport, Super Intelligence Control Tower), SAP is pushing its 'Autonomous Enterprise', and Zeta is launching AthenaOS and its own inference model. Palantir is embedding itself in banking, aviation and sovereign AI infrastructure through partnerships with Customers Bank, Surf Air, Ondas and Armada. Governance, data sovereignty and enforced policy are emerging as preconditions for regulated sectors like finance. Investors such as Norwest see room to disrupt ERP and finance software, and they caution that AI should not be trusted with financial calculations. Consolidation and shareholder disputes (Salesforce/Braze, Tiny/Oso Cloud, ZenaTech/Boardwalktech) show the market reshaping.
Our read on the data ›
Signals we're tracking
EPKINLY Regulatory-Clinical Success Cascade
High probability of expanded label indications, additional combination approvals, and competitive positioning strength in follicular lymphoma market. Predicts positive commercial uptake and potential accelerated review for related indications.
Patterns we're watching ›
Where sources disagree
Ford Motor Company
Both facts give cash for Ford Motor Company at the same point in time (2025-12-31; FY 2025 year-end and Q4 2025 year-end are the same date). Both are labelled USD, but the values are 23,356,000,000 and 23.356, which cannot both be true in USD. The two numbers agree once the second is read as billions (23.356 bn = 23,356,000,000), so the economic content is consistent and the conflict is a unit/scale error in the Q4 2025 record. The period is not the reason for the conflict: a Q4 and an FY figure at the same year-end date should match.
We flag conflicts openly ›
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