6 Major Investment Themes Shaping 2026
View original at finance.yahoo.com6 Major Investment Themes Shaping 2026 The bull market remains intact, and the opportunity set heading into 2026 is plentiful. 2025 delivered another year of strong equity performance, with the S&P 500 up roughly 16% and the Nasdaq 100 gaining nearly 21% as of this writing…
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Gold has risen nearly 70% this year and more than doubled S&P 500's return over past three years
80% confidencePhotovoltaic module costs have fallen by roughly 90% over past decade
80% confidenceEstimated 2025 earnings growth of 21.7% on 11.9% higher revenues for Magnificent Seven
80% confidenceArtificial intelligence was a key driver of returns, cementing itself as the most important business and technological shift since the internet
80% confidenceBattery costs down nearly 90% over past decade
80% confidenceUS LNG export capacity set to expand meaningfully
80% confidenceEarnings for rest of S&P 500 projected to grow 10.8% in 2026, up from 8.3% in 2025, 4.4% in 2024, and -4.8% in 2023
80% confidenceTotal 2026 earnings for Magnificent Seven expected to rise 16.5% on 15% revenue growth
80% confidenceGlobal AI-related capex is projected to exceed $500 billion
80% confidenceTotal AI-related capital expenditures approach $1 trillion
80% confidenceLithium-ion battery pack costs declined 20% over past year, reaching record low of $108 per kilowatt-hour
80% confidenceThe bull market remains intact, and the opportunity set heading into 2026 is plentiful
80% confidenceThe AI infrastructure cycle is far from complete and current phase resembles late-1990s infrastructure buildout
80% confidenceGold is now the anti-fragile asset to own, rather than Treasuries. High-quality equities and gold are the best hedges
80% confidenceBig Tech companies continue to combine strong revenue growth, rising profitability, and elevated yet defensible valuations
80% confidenceSolar is now among cheapest sources of new power generation across much of United States
80% confidenceThere are few signs of an imminent economic slowdown
80% confidenceSolar is the fastest growing and most scalable source of new energy at a time when electricity demand is soaring
80% confidenceTraditional 60/40 stock-bond portfolio no longer reflects today's market realities, suggesting 60/20/20 approach with gold replacing half bond allocation
80% confidenceBitcoin has never had two consecutive years of annual losses
80% confidence