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Source document· November 25, 2025

Analog Devices forecasts $3.1B Q1 revenue as industrial and communications lead FY26 growth

View original at seekingalpha.com
Analog Devices forecasts $3.1B Q1 revenue as industrial and communications lead FY26 growth Earnings Call Insights: Analog Devices (ADI) Q4 2025 MANAGEMENT VIEW * CEO Vincent Roche reported "continued growth in revenue and earnings per share, both of which finished above the midpoint of our outlook," noting that all en…
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  • Record free cash flow of more than $4 billion was generated in fiscal 2025

    80% confidence
  • Maxim revenue synergies clearly accelerated in FY25 and are in the hundreds of millions against $1 billion target by 2027

    80% confidence
  • Earnings per share growth of more than 20% in fiscal 2025 was achieved

    80% confidence
  • We didn't get to the 70% gross margin as planned as the mix component wasn't as strong as we were expecting, citing auto mix

    80% confidence
  • Auto has been ADI's strongest market and near term the market has been more resilient than predicted

    80% confidence
  • Q1 2026 revenue expected to be $3.1 billion, plus or minus $100 million, with operating margin at the midpoint of 43.5%

    80% confidence
  • Q1 gross margin expected to be flattish due to seasonal shutdowns offset by higher industrial mix

    80% confidence
  • There is risk in auto around tariff and some of the macro environment

    80% confidence
  • Earnings per share of $7.79 increased 22% versus fiscal 2024

    80% confidence
  • Aerospace and defense expected to grow double-digit in FY26 and business has capacity by end of decade to more than double

    80% confidence
  • Fiscal 2025 gross margin was 69.3% and operating margin was 41.9%

    80% confidence
  • Lead times for most products are sub-13 weeks and visibility has not improved over the last 2 years

    80% confidence
  • Consumer is expected to be seasonally down low double digits in Q1 2026

    80% confidence
  • ADI is realizing stronger value capture as reflected in increase in average selling prices, particularly in new products where ASPs significantly exceed legacy offerings

    80% confidence
  • We continue to see some risk there around tariff and some of the macro environment

    80% confidence
  • Q1 gross margin is expected to be flattish due to seasonal shutdowns offset by higher industrial mix

    80% confidence
  • Maxim revenue synergies clearly accelerated in FY25 and are in the hundreds of millions against $1 billion target by 2027

    80% confidence
  • The new Acoustics platform is enabling ADI to triple the value generated over legacy designs

    80% confidence
  • Expectation that in FY26, industrial and communications will lead the charge

    80% confidence
  • ADI achieved earnings per share growth of more than 20% in fiscal 2025

    80% confidence
  • Gross margin of 69.3% for the year and operating margin of 41.9%

    80% confidence
  • Q1 gross margin expected to be flattish due to seasonal shutdowns offset by higher industrial mix

    80% confidence
  • Power management for ADI is still an opportunity with a much bigger growth story

    80% confidence
  • ADI achieved earnings per share growth of more than 20% in fiscal 2025

    80% confidence
  • Further growth in FY26 is expected due to expanding design pipeline industry transitions to HBM4 and expected double-digit growth in hyperscaler CapEx

    80% confidence
  • Q1 2026 adjusted EPS expected to be $2.29 plus or minus $0.10

    80% confidence
  • Some automotive upside may have been tariff and policy related, remaining cautious due to uncertainty

    80% confidence
  • Consumer expected to be seasonally down low double digits

    80% confidence
  • Individual end market margins versus average has not changed in any meaningful way

    80% confidence
  • Auto has been our strongest market. Near term, the market has been more resilient than we and many have predicted

    80% confidence
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What we're seeing
Q4 2026 Biotech Catalyst Window: ESMO Data, the Ivonescimab PDUFA and Small-Cap Delistings
Mid-October to November 2026 is a dense catalyst period for clinical-stage biotech. Positive late-stage readouts (ALOFT-IPF, TELIGAN, MIUDELLA, the duvakitug extension) and the ESMO 2026 presentations lead up to the FDA's 14 November PDUFA date for the ivonescimab BLA. At the opposite end of the market, Spago Nanomedical is moving to delist from Nasdaq First North, which shows how hard it is for micro-cap developers to fund themselves. Value is concentrating in companies with late-stage data and near-term regulatory outcomes.
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EPKINLY Regulatory-Clinical Success Cascade
High probability of expanded label indications, additional combination approvals, and competitive positioning strength in follicular lymphoma market. Predicts positive commercial uptake and potential accelerated review for related indications.
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Where sources disagree
Ford Motor Company
Both facts give cash for Ford Motor Company at the same point in time (2025-12-31; FY 2025 year-end and Q4 2025 year-end are the same date). Both are labelled USD, but the values are 23,356,000,000 and 23.356, which cannot both be true in USD. The two numbers agree once the second is read as billions (23.356 bn = 23,356,000,000), so the economic content is consistent and the conflict is a unit/scale error in the Q4 2025 record. The period is not the reason for the conflict: a Q4 and an FY figure at the same year-end date should match.
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