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Source document· November 25, 2025

Analog Devices forecasts $3.1B Q1 revenue as industrial and communications lead FY26 growth

View original at seekingalpha.com
Analog Devices forecasts $3.1B Q1 revenue as industrial and communications lead FY26 growth Earnings Call Insights: Analog Devices (ADI) Q4 2025 MANAGEMENT VIEW * CEO Vincent Roche reported "continued growth in revenue and earnings per share, both of which finished above the midpoint of our outlook," noting that all en…
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  • Maxim revenue synergies clearly accelerated in FY25 and are in the hundreds of millions against $1 billion target by 2027

    80% confidence
  • Revenue for the year came in at just over $11 billion, up 17% from fiscal '24, with double-digit growth across all end markets

    80% confidence
  • Data center grew about 50% in fiscal 2025 and ATE business grew at 40%

    80% confidence
  • Maxim revenue synergies clearly accelerated in FY2025 and are in the hundreds of millions against $1 billion target by 2027

    80% confidence
  • ADI is realizing stronger value capture as reflected in the increase in average selling prices, particularly in new products where ASPs significantly exceed those of legacy offerings

    80% confidence
  • The new Acoustics platform is enabling ADI to triple the value generated over legacy designs

    80% confidence
  • Expectation that in FY26, industrial and communications will lead the charge

    80% confidence
  • ADI achieved earnings per share growth of more than 20% in fiscal 2025

    80% confidence
  • Gross margin of 69.3% for the year and operating margin of 41.9%

    80% confidence
  • Q1 gross margin expected to be flattish due to seasonal shutdowns offset by higher industrial mix

    80% confidence
  • Power management for ADI is still an opportunity with a much bigger growth story

    80% confidence
  • Analog Devices generated record free cash flow of more than $4 billion in FY2025

    80% confidence
  • All end markets increased by double digits in fiscal 2025

    80% confidence
  • Q1 outlook reflects seventh straight quarter of above seasonal growth

    80% confidence
  • Some automotive upside may have been tariff and policy related, remaining cautious due to uncertainty

    80% confidence
  • Consumer expected to be seasonally down low double digits

    80% confidence
  • Individual end market margins versus average has not changed in any meaningful way

    80% confidence
  • Q1 2026 revenue guidance is $3.1 billion, plus or minus $100 million, with operating margin at midpoint of 43.5%, tax rate of 12% to 14%, and adjusted EPS of $2.29, plus or minus $0.10

    80% confidence
  • Automotive expected to be down mid-single digits below seasonal

    80% confidence
  • Q1 outlook is up slightly quarter-over-quarter, reflecting seventh straight quarter of above seasonal growth

    80% confidence
  • Q1 gross margin expected to be flattish due to seasonal shutdowns offset by higher industrial mix

    80% confidence
  • Revenue for fiscal year 2025 came in at just over $11 billion, up 17% from fiscal 2024, with double-digit growth across all end markets

    80% confidence
  • Industrial is expected to be up mid-single digits above seasonal in Q1 2026

    80% confidence
  • All end markets increased by double digits in fiscal 2025

    80% confidence
  • ADI did not get to 70% gross margin as planned as the mix component wasn't as strong as expected, citing auto mix

    80% confidence
  • Expectation is that in '26, industrial and communications will lead the charge

    80% confidence
  • ADI is realizing stronger value capture through increase in average selling prices, particularly in new products where ASPs significantly exceed legacy offerings

    80% confidence
  • Broad-based growth in FY26 led by industrial and communications, supported by cyclical and idiosyncratic tailwinds

    80% confidence
  • Q1 2026 adjusted EPS is expected to be $2.29, plus or minus $0.10

    80% confidence
  • ADI generated record free cash flow of more than $4 billion

    80% confidence
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AI Capital Boom Meets Valuation Jitters: Funding Surges While Bellwether Stocks Wobble
A dense wave of AI-sector funding (Socure, Stability AI, Emerald AI, Generalist AI, Gatik, Regent Craft and others closing rounds on the same day) and strong enterprise-automation earnings (UiPath raising full-year guidance) point to continued heavy capital deployment into AI infrastructure, fintech-adjacent AI, and agentic automation. Yet Palantir's stock fell even after winning the Army's high-profile TITAN contract, and commentary (e.g., the Alphabet bull case citing AI capex and regulatory risk) signals growing investor unease about whether current AI valuations and spending levels are sustainable.
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Satellite-Terrestrial Network Integration Acceleration
Increased investment and launches in hybrid satellite-cellular networks across telecom industry; competitive responses from other carriers; regulatory activity around satellite spectrum; expansion of emergency/rural connectivity use cases
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ING Group
Both facts record the same metric (shares_outstanding) for ING Group at the identical observation date (2025-12-31). FACT A states 2,902,437,688 shares; FACT B states 2,902 million shares (2,902,000,000). The difference is 437,688 shares (~0.015%). This is a genuine value conflict, though the discrepancy appears to result from FACT B rounding to the nearest million while FACT A provides the precise count.
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