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News articleYahoo Finance· February 21, 2026
Germany About to Find Out Whether Its Recovery Is Real
View original at finance.yahoo.comGermany About to Find Out Whether Its Recovery Is Real Photographer: Ben Kilb/Bloomberg (Bloomberg) -- Data from Germany in the coming days will shed light on whether Europe’s largest economy is on the cusp of a meaningful revival or still being hampered by Donald Trump’s tariffs and its own chronic shortcomings…
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Calendar-adjusted annual growth would be 0.8% in 2026, up from 0.3% in 2025
80% confidenceExpecting flat fourth-quarter GDP reading for Canada
80% confidenceCentral bank would remain cautious on easing
80% confidenceMusings about pulling US out of USMCA trade deal sound like negotiating tactic
80% confidenceDon't anticipate meaningful near-term economic acceleration in Germany, forecasting growth of 0.2% in Q1 2026 and 0.3% in Q2 2026
80% confidenceIncreased public spending on infrastructure and defense expected to provide larger boost in second half of 2026, lifting quarterly GDP growth to 0.4%
80% confidenceStepped up calls for rate cuts
80% confidenceCited growth in industry and notable strength in construction for Germany's Q4 2025 GDP advance
80% confidence
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